Peanuts - definitely go with the 70. The D200 isn't really a good idea if it's your first DSLR - there's enough to get used to on a D70, even if you've used film SLRs before.
If you can afford the D70, by all means go for it, but the D50 is pretty substantial too - certainly compared to the Eos350D/Digital RebelXt/Digital Kiss. The second dial is moderately handy, but I haven't found the D50 too hard to control with its single dial. Budget and size of the camera made me go for the D50.
The 18-200VR is a pretty awesome lens, but it's rather expensive, and as you point out, there are supply problems. The 18-70DX (the D70's kit lens) is a very nice lens too, light years better than the 18-55, so don't feel like you'd be buying something less than stellar if you went for that.
In short: sounds like you've made up your own mind; I think it's the right choice. I don't think the D200 would be right for you - yet...
If you can afford the D70, by all means go for it, but the D50 is pretty substantial too - certainly compared to the Eos350D/Digital RebelXt/Digital Kiss. The second dial is moderately handy, but I haven't found the D50 too hard to control with its single dial. Budget and size of the camera made me go for the D50.
The 18-200VR is a pretty awesome lens, but it's rather expensive, and as you point out, there are supply problems. The 18-70DX (the D70's kit lens) is a very nice lens too, light years better than the 18-55, so don't feel like you'd be buying something less than stellar if you went for that.
In short: sounds like you've made up your own mind; I think it's the right choice. I don't think the D200 would be right for you - yet...
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