Originally posted by Neon Ignition
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I've been anticipating his prediction and it's really encouraging that he has predicted Harris.
Here is some of his rationale:
“Looking ahead to November, eight of the keys favor Harris, while three do not, Lichtman said. The final two keys — foreign policy success and failure — could go either way but won’t sway the final outcome, he added.
“‘Foreign policy is tricky and these keys could flip,” he told The New York Times. “The Biden administration is deeply invested in the war in Gaza, which is a humanitarian disaster with no end in sight. But even if both foreign policy keys flipped false, that would mean that there were only five negative keys, which would not be enough for Donald Trump to regain the White House.” "
“‘Foreign policy is tricky and these keys could flip,” he told The New York Times. “The Biden administration is deeply invested in the war in Gaza, which is a humanitarian disaster with no end in sight. But even if both foreign policy keys flipped false, that would mean that there were only five negative keys, which would not be enough for Donald Trump to regain the White House.” "
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